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Puro's Rants

Last post 01-03-2009, 8:10 PM by phobicsquirrel. 361 replies.
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  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-18-2008, 8:13 PM

    dutyje:
    Anyway, direct violence will soon become obsolete as the weapon of choice in war. This, in my opinion, is the reason we should quit directing our defense budget towards more refined means of killing people. The downfall of our great empire will come from a spectacular direct attack very different from those which are so vivid in our memories and our history books.
    Fish slapping?


    Buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo.
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-18-2008, 10:53 PM

    urbino:
    kuzi16:
    the manner that goods are traded; how the markets are; the existence of goods and services have a nature. that nature is to find a price that people are willing to pay for them. the government cant set a price on gold because that will great a false high price or false low price. a government is an ineffective way to control the economy.
    Sure. But sometimes markets overshoot the bottom or top. We're seeing a case of the latter right now with the housing bubble. These events create unpleasant externalities that are appropriate for governments to address. One way to address them is try to put rules in place that make overshooting less likely. These overshoots can also create huge transaction costs (inefficiencies) that are bad for the economy in the long-term. Governments have a legitimate interest in trying to prevent these, as well.
    the other way to address this problem is by letting the market fix itself. when houses got too high there was a correction in the market. It was drastic. housing lost value because it was too bullish for too long. the market is correcting it even as we type. home sales in California are now up 60% from this time last year. why? because all the foreclosed houses are on the market now ad a drasticly lower price. this is the correction. I never said it would be pretty, and in fact may hurt people. those people should never have entered those deals and those banks never should have made the loan. its their own fault.
    Kuzi's cigar catalog blending 101 developing your palate
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-18-2008, 10:55 PM

    dutyje:
    urbino:
    I'm not sure why people seem to think WWII wasn't a massive gov't spending program that interfered in a huge way with all kinds of markets.
    Because it involved guns... lots and lots of guns... and they're really cool. It isn't really socialist if they're taxing the bejeezus out of everybody to buy lots of guns.

    Anyway, direct violence will soon become obsolete as the weapon of choice in war. This, in my opinion, is the reason we should quit directing our defense budget towards more refined means of killing people. The downfall of our great empire will come from a spectacular direct attack very different from those which are so vivid in our memories and our history books.
    when your country is under attack by *** there are few that would argue that fighting them is bad. like i said before, a social system will work only if damn near 100% of the people are for it. in that case, people were for it. Im not saying it wasnt a social program. im saying that it was wanted by everyone, so it worked.
    Kuzi's cigar catalog blending 101 developing your palate
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-18-2008, 10:58 PM

  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-18-2008, 11:27 PM

    urbino:


    Your second quote isn't really on point. The author is making a point specifically about an argument that wealth misdistribution was a major factor in causing the Great Depression. I don't think anybody here is making that argument.
    i just found it interesting more or less.
    Kuzi's cigar catalog blending 101 developing your palate
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-18-2008, 11:50 PM

    kuzi16:
    the other way to address this problem is by letting the market fix itself. when houses got too high there was a correction in the market. It was drastic. housing lost value because it was too bullish for too long. the market is correcting it even as we type. home sales in California are now up 60% from this time last year. why? because all the foreclosed houses are on the market now ad a drasticly lower price. this is the correction. I never said it would be pretty, and in fact may hurt people. those people should never have entered those deals and those banks never should have made the loan. its their own fault.
    Again, sure, but what about all the externalities and inefficiencies created by just letting markets skyrocket and crash, willy-nilly?

    I absolutely agree that the banks should never have made those loans. Since the loans are not the cause of the scale of our current crisis, however, let me go further and say banks and other financial firms should never have then leveraged the hell out of those mortgages. Those banks and firms deserve to crash and die. Unfortunately, however, their crashing and dying causes huge problems for lots and lots of businesses and people who had nothing to do with those bad decisions. Those folks are in no way at fault, but they're getting crushed anyway, and the overall economy is losing their productivity, skills, products, and services.

    Why should that be allowed to happen, just in the name of market purity? It's economically inefficient, morally unjustifiable, and socially destructive.
    Buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo.
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-18-2008, 11:51 PM

    • Joined on 06-20-2008
    • Dallas Texas
    • Posts 346
    • Top 25 Contributor
    kuzi16:
    ... guns are really cool.
    Damn right they are. I love to go shooting and I have grown up around guns my entire life, I haven't EVER killed anyone and niether have any of my guns.
    "An unarmed man makes a good victim." One of my favorite quotes and one of the most true...
    Jason
    "Government's view of the economy could be summed up in a few short phrases: If it moves, tax it. If it keeps moving, regulate it. And if it stops moving, subsidize it." - Ronald Reagan
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-19-2008, 12:12 AM

    kuzi16:
    when your country is under attack by *** there are few that would argue that fighting them is bad. like i said before, a social system will work only if damn near 100% of the people are for it. in that case, people were for it. Im not saying it wasnt a social program. im saying that it was wanted by everyone, so it worked.
    Except that it wasn't. The Republican Party opposed our entry into the war from the time it began until Pearl Harbor. That is, it opposed our entry into the war even while/after Nazi U-boats sank our ships in the North Atlantic. It opposed even helping England, which is why FDR had to sneak the aid through congress under the Lend-Lease Act. Every candidate in the GOP presidential primaries in 1940 opposed our entry into the war. The conservative wing of the party opposed our involvement all the way through to the end.

    Regardless, under your economic theory, wouldn't we have been better off to let market forces determine what war materiel got produced, in what quantities, and at what price? Wouldn't we have been better off to let market forces allocate domestic goods and set the prices for them, rather than having rationing and price controls? Wouldn't an unfettered market have met our wartime needs more quickly and efficiently than gov't control did?
    Buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo.
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-19-2008, 9:12 AM

    urbino:
    Again, sure, but what about all the externalities and inefficiencies created by just letting markets skyrocket and crash, willy-nilly?
    i wouldnt go so far to say "willy-nilly" but the pure system is designed to teach people a lesson when they make poor decisions. those people (in a purer system) should and would be punished by losing everything. however like described before, this isnt and hasnt been a pure system.
    urbino:


    I absolutely agree that the banks should never have made those loans. Since the loans are not the cause of the scale of our current crisis, however, let me go further and say banks and other financial firms should never have then leveraged the hell out of those mortgages. Those banks and firms deserve to crash and die. Unfortunately, however, their crashing and dying causes huge problems for lots and lots of businesses and people who had nothing to do with those bad decisions. Those folks are in no way at fault, but they're getting crushed anyway, and the overall economy is losing their productivity, skills, products, and services.

    Why should that be allowed to happen, just in the name of market purity? It's economically inefficient, morally unjustifiable, and socially destructive.
    the high-ups of those companies should be brought to trial very enron style. (but they wont be because they are all friends of the now president elect ... but thats another argument) they should lose everything. the bail out of their companies shouldnt happen. the government also shouldnt force other banks to take money from the bailout that they dont wanna take. the money should go to the people (if we were to do a bail out) so they can pay off their loans or at least part of them. this influx of money into the system would make any negative externalities less damaging and maybe a bit shorter term. the good banks such as Wells Fargo would then step up to the plate and fill the hole in the industry where the bad banks fell out. again, economic darwinism.

    as far as being economically inefficient... is what we are doing now any better? no. just costing the tax payer even more.
    Morally unjustifiable? how about punishing those who caused the problems? would that help?
    socially destructive? this i may be able to reach and agree with. people losing their jobs because an industry other than their own wend under is a bit destructive. ...how about the bailout for ONLY those people? i know it wouldnt work but it sounds fun doesnt it?



    i wish i could sit around all day and discuss this with everyone here but i need to get goin to work.
    Urbi, always a pleasure.
    Kuzi's cigar catalog blending 101 developing your palate
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-19-2008, 9:14 AM

    urbino:
    kuzi16:
    when your country is under attack by *** there are few that would argue that fighting them is bad. like i said before, a social system will work only if damn near 100% of the people are for it. in that case, people were for it. Im not saying it wasnt a social program. im saying that it was wanted by everyone, so it worked.
    Except that it wasn't. The Republican Party opposed our entry into the war from the time it began until Pearl Harbor. That is, it opposed our entry into the war even while/after Nazi U-boats sank our ships in the North Atlantic. It opposed even helping England, which is why FDR had to sneak the aid through congress under the Lend-Lease Act. Every candidate in the GOP presidential primaries in 1940 opposed our entry into the war. The conservative wing of the party opposed our involvement all the way through to the end.

    Regardless, under your economic theory, wouldn't we have been better off to let market forces determine what war materiel got produced, in what quantities, and at what price? Wouldn't we have been better off to let market forces allocate domestic goods and set the prices for them, rather than having rationing and price controls? Wouldn't an unfettered market have met our wartime needs more quickly and efficiently than gov't control did?
    awe man ... i wanna comment but i dont have time. ill get back to this if i remember. some good thought in there.
    Kuzi's cigar catalog blending 101 developing your palate
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-19-2008, 12:50 PM

    kuzi16:
    urbino:
    Again, sure, but what about all the externalities and inefficiencies created by just letting markets skyrocket and crash, willy-nilly?
    i wouldnt go so far to say "willy-nilly" but the pure system is designed to teach people a lesson when they make poor decisions. those people (in a purer system) should and would be punished by losing everything. however like described before, this isnt and hasnt been a pure system.
    This crash is taking a lot more people with it than those who have direct or indirect investments in the matter. The banks have been forced to substantially withdraw from the market with respect to lending. Borrowers are unable to find financing to purchase a home -- even if they feel that the asking price on that home is fair and equitable.

    In other words, someone may have purchased a home 10 years ago. They may have financed it with a relatively conservative 15-year fixed rate mortgage. If that person is trying to sell the house today, they may have buyers lined up to pay the asking price, but if none of them can get financing the sale will not occur.

    Still, I agree with Kuzi that I don't think we need to be sticking our hands into this mess. They bought their tickets. They knew what they were getting into. I say, let 'em crash!
    My foot hurts
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-19-2008, 10:32 PM

    dutyje:
    I say, let 'em crash!
    Heh. I was waiting for somebody to drop that quote.
    Buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo.
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-19-2008, 10:46 PM

    this is still going on? hmmmm....
    Would like a Gurkha HMR PM me if you have any extras...
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-19-2008, 10:46 PM

    kuzi16:
    i wouldnt go so far to say "willy-nilly" but the pure system is designed to teach people a lesson when they make poor decisions. those people (in a purer system) should and would be punished by losing everything.
    Do people need to lose everything, even if it means we have to let all the inefficiencies and externalities happen? Is there not a way to balance the need to have negative consequences for bad decisions with the need to limit the inefficiencies and externalities? Get some of both, but not all of either?
    kuzi16:
    the high-ups of those companies should be brought to trial very enron style.
    You won't get any argument from me. That can be done without letting the economy crash, though.
    kuzi16:
    (but they wont be because they are all friends of the now president elect ... but thats another argument)
    That's a bit of a cheap shot. These guys have got all kinds of well-placed friends on both sides of the aisle. They wouldn't have faced trial ever, no matter who was in the White House (except maybe Jefferson or TR).
    kuzi16:
    the money should go to the people (if we were to do a bail out) so they can pay off their loans or at least part of them.
    I was arguing for that on this board, like, weeks ago. That's still what my gut says. OTOH, I saw a guy testifying to congress the other day. He said they looked at that option, but didn't think it would have as great an effect on the overall economy, or as quickly, as what they've ended up sort of half-way doing after stumbling around for a while. Don't know if that's valid, but I don't know enough about this stuff to say it's not. It's credible, at least.
    kuzi16:
    as far as being economically inefficient... is what we are doing now any better? no.
    Clearly, nobody knows the answer to that question, yet. That's the problem with this kind of macroeconomic stuff. You don't really know what's going to work until you've tried it.
    kuzi16:
    Morally unjustifiable? how about punishing those who caused the problems? would that help?
    Again, I don't think we should look at it as 2 mutually exclusive options. It's not either/or. It's a balancing act. Try to do enough to soften the externalities and inefficiencies, while also letting the people who screwed up feel the pinch of having screwed up. Will they fully get what they deserve? No. Is that better than letting their screw-up damage millions of other peoples' lives? Probably. There isn't a clean option available.
    kuzi16:
    Urbi, always a pleasure.
    Likewise, kuz.
    Buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo.
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-19-2008, 10:50 PM

    phobicsquirrel:
    this is still going on? hmmmm....
    All the cool kids are here, Feebs.
    Buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo.
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