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Puro's Rants

Last post 01-03-2009, 8:10 PM by phobicsquirrel. 361 replies.
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  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-17-2008, 2:29 PM

    • Joined on 06-20-2008
    • Dallas Texas
    • Posts 346
    • Top 25 Contributor
    You bet, it took me a minute to find the story but here ya go.

    http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,452985,00.html
    Jason
    "Government's view of the economy could be summed up in a few short phrases: If it moves, tax it. If it keeps moving, regulate it. And if it stops moving, subsidize it." - Ronald Reagan
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-17-2008, 7:10 PM

    PuroFreak:
    I hate to change the subj here, but I was reading a news story and this conversation popped into my mind... the line

    "At the other end of the scale, you could look at a country like Japan, where there's an almost pathological work ethic, and their economy's been in the crapper for, what, nearly 10 years now?"

    That line came to mind when I read :

    TOKYO — Japan's economy slid into a recession for the first time since 2001, the government said Monday, as companies sharply cut back on spending in the third quarter amid the unfolding global financial crisis.

    The world's second-largest economy contracted at an annual pace of 0.4 percent in the July-September period after a declining an annualized 3.7 percent in the second quarter. That means Japan, along with the 15-nation euro-zone, is now technically in a recession, defined as two straight quarters of contraction.

    That hardly sounds like and economy that has been in the crapper for the past 10 years... First recession since 2001 and they are the 2nd largest economy in the world... Not bad for a little island we nuked the living *** out of! haha
    Well, they've been one of the largest economies for several decades now, and even large economies can go in the crapper for a long time, so, to borrow a phrase, size doesn't matter (to my argument).

    As for my dates on when their economy was in the crapper, mea culpa. I got my decades mixed up (wait till you get to be my age). They crashed in the early 90s and didn't recover until 2001.

    So, same point, different decade.
    Buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo.
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-17-2008, 9:41 PM

    in all fairness we had a bit of a recession in the 90s as well.

    ... i wouldnt call it a "crash" but it was one of the "downs" in an economy that commonly goes up and down.
    Kuzi's cigar catalog blending 101 developing your palate
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-17-2008, 10:08 PM

    Sure, but my point in even mentioning the Japanese recession in the first place was that a strong work ethic and relatively free markets do not guarantee a strong economy. The same would apply to the US, though our work ethic isn't quite what the Japanese's seems to be.
    Buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo.
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-17-2008, 10:22 PM

    true. but every free market economy, nay, EVERY economy has its ups and downs. The free market system can correct itself. It does not need a government agency to correct it.

    and just by the way goods/services work nobody nor any government can correct an economy. only the people can do that. If people dont wanna buy stuff then they dont wanna buy stuff. An outside entity holding up a company is just tossing money into the money hole. it creates artificial supply, demand, or an artificially high or low price. All of these things can do more harm than good.
    Kuzi's cigar catalog blending 101 developing your palate
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-17-2008, 11:10 PM

    kuzi16:
    true. but every free market economy, nay, EVERY economy has its ups and downs. The free market system can correct itself. It does not need a government agency to correct it.
    I don't think you'll find many histories of the Great Depression, written by professional economists, that agree with that statement. The problem presented by the GD was precisely what was previously thought to not be possible in a market economy: a persistent equilibrium at high unemployment.
    kuzi16:
    and just by the way goods/services work nobody nor any government can correct an economy. only the people can do that. If people dont wanna buy stuff then they dont wanna buy stuff. An outside entity holding up a company is just tossing money into the money hole. it creates artificial supply, demand, or an artificially high or low price. All of these things can do more harm than good.
    I'm not sure what that first sentence says. The rest I generally agree with. That doesn't always mean there aren't other valid reasons for holding up a company, at least temporarily, from time to time.
    Buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo.
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-18-2008, 9:51 AM

    urbino:
    kuzi16:
    true. but every free market economy, nay, EVERY economy has its ups and downs. The free market system can correct itself. It does not need a government agency to correct it.
    I don't think you'll find many histories of the Great Depression, written by professional economists, that agree with that statement. The problem presented by the GD was precisely what was previously thought to not be possible in a market economy: a persistent equilibrium at high unemployment.
    it was an artificial equilibrium. the government was "holding up" the country via social programs. the great depression lasted longer in the US while in other countries it didnt last as long. part of the reason this happened is because other countries cut taxes and the US raised them to "help the little guy"
    we got out of the great depression because people went back to work to support the war machine.

    i have heard many economists make this claim on the radio. I would love to site sources but being that it was a while ago i am currently unable to do so. If i find some ill get back to you.
    Kuzi's cigar catalog blending 101 developing your palate
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-18-2008, 9:54 AM

    urbino:
    kuzi16:
    and just by the way goods/services work nobody nor any government can correct an economy.
    I'm not sure what that first sentence says.
    the manner that goods are traded; how the markets are; the existence of goods and services have a nature. that nature is to find a price that people are willing to pay for them. the government cant set a price on gold because that will great a false high price or false low price. a government is an ineffective way to control the economy.
    Kuzi's cigar catalog blending 101 developing your palate
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-18-2008, 10:13 AM

    found a source: http://www.amatecon.com/gd/gdcandc.html

    last line:
    Amazingly, doing nothing often seems to be the correct response. The Depressions of 1907 and 1920 were both over within a year, even though the Federal government did virtually nothing in response.
    had the same inaction been taken in the US during the great depression it could have been shorter.

    and a bit further up in the article:
    However, as economist Arnold Kling explains while reviewing Randall E. Parker's Reflections on the Great Depression, a collection of interviews of economists who lived through the Great Depression:
    A number of myths that are popular in conventional histories of the Depression are punctured in Parker's book. For example, the Wikipedia echoes many textbooks in saying, "A fundamental misdistribution of purchasing power, the greatly unequal distribution of wealth throughout the 1920s, was a factor contributing to the depression." None of the economists interviewed by Parker cites this so-called causal factor.

    Kuzi's cigar catalog blending 101 developing your palate
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-18-2008, 3:02 PM

    kuzi16:
    not that i dont believe you but would you mind linking me on that? again, not so much because of proof but because i wanna read the entire article.

    thanks for the info.
    It's from an AP article... http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Japan-slides-into-recession-apf-13588804.html
    Luko:
    Just keep in mind if you do, you're pissing off a dude who shaves with a sword.
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-18-2008, 3:03 PM

    rusirius:
    kuzi16:
    not that i dont believe you but would you mind linking me on that? again, not so much because of proof but because i wanna read the entire article.

    thanks for the info.
    It's from an AP article... http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Japan-slides-into-recession-apf-13588804.html
    Sorry, ignore this... i was on the wrong page and didn't think there was a reply yet...
    Luko:
    Just keep in mind if you do, you're pissing off a dude who shaves with a sword.
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-18-2008, 4:58 PM

    I think the focal word in your first quote, kuz, is "often." I don't think anybody disagrees that "often" doing nothing is the best response. Even "usually." Business cycles are business cycles.

    But "often" is decidedly not "always," which seemed to be what you were arguing previously. "Often" agrees with me: sometimes markets fail and have to be fixed.

    Your second quote isn't really on point. The author is making a point specifically about an argument that wealth misdistribution was a major factor in causing the Great Depression. I don't think anybody here is making that argument.

    As for arguments you're hearing on the radio, I can't really comment on them. I don't know who the people are or what they're saying. I will say this, though: there is a cottage industry these days in revisionist histories of the Depression and the New Deal among people who have a priori commitments to certain conclusions. Amity Shlaes is probably the best known of them.
    Buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo.
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-18-2008, 5:05 PM

    kuzi16:
    the manner that goods are traded; how the markets are; the existence of goods and services have a nature. that nature is to find a price that people are willing to pay for them. the government cant set a price on gold because that will great a false high price or false low price. a government is an ineffective way to control the economy.
    Sure. But sometimes markets overshoot the bottom or top. We're seeing a case of the latter right now with the housing bubble. These events create unpleasant externalities that are appropriate for governments to address. One way to address them is try to put rules in place that make overshooting less likely. These overshoots can also create huge transaction costs (inefficiencies) that are bad for the economy in the long-term. Governments have a legitimate interest in trying to prevent these, as well.
    Buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo.
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-18-2008, 6:12 PM

    kuzi16:
    it was an artificial equilibrium. the government was "holding up" the country via social programs.
    The Depression started in 1929. President Hoover did pretty much nothing in response; he certainly wasn't holding up the country via social programs. By the time he left office at the end of 1932, unemployment had shot up to almost 25% and was still rising. The same was true all over Europe, as their governments followed the same non-interventionist policies. That level of unemployment for that long was already something that previous laissez-faire economic theory didn't think could ever happen.
    kuzi16:
    the great depression lasted longer in the US while in other countries it didnt last as long. part of the reason this happened is because other countries cut taxes and the US raised them to "help the little guy"
    we got out of the great depression because people went back to work to support the war machine.
    Other countries got out of the Depression earlier than we did because they entered WWII earlier than we did (or in Germany's case, started mass production of war materiel in preparation for WWII). I'm not sure why people seem to think WWII wasn't a massive gov't spending program that interfered in a huge way with all kinds of markets.
    Buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo.
  • Re: Puro's rants

     11-18-2008, 7:18 PM

    urbino:
    I'm not sure why people seem to think WWII wasn't a massive gov't spending program that interfered in a huge way with all kinds of markets.
    Because it involved guns... lots and lots of guns... and they're really cool. It isn't really socialist if they're taxing the bejeezus out of everybody to buy lots of guns.

    Anyway, direct violence will soon become obsolete as the weapon of choice in war. This, in my opinion, is the reason we should quit directing our defense budget towards more refined means of killing people. The downfall of our great empire will come from a spectacular direct attack very different from those which are so vivid in our memories and our history books.
    My foot hurts
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